How Well Have the Anaheim Ducks Drafted Since 2000?

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For those of you who haven’t seen my earlier post(s) I am going through each of the 30 teams and breaking down how they have drafted over the past 15 years. The other teams can be found here:

To make this post I went through all of the Anaheim Ducks picks since the 2000 draft.

Many of these players were drafted by Anaheim but traded to other teams where they played most of their careers. Despite playing most of their careers on other teams I still used their full NHL stats for two reasons:

1) Anaheim drafted players they believed to have potential; whether or not they fulfilled their potential on that team or not doesn’t necessarily matter. The important thing is that the team recognized a players true potential and the players that were selected lived up to it.
2) I was lazy.

You could argue that they wouldn’t turn out to be the same players if they stayed on Anaheim, and you’re probably right, but I decided to do it this way so that I could specifically focus on the teams drafting ability and not the player development.

TOTAL PICK DISTRIBUTION

Position Drafted GP PTS
Center 20 1607 903
LW 15 2038 750
RW 11 2054 1384
D 44 2508 659
G 10 802 N/A
Unspecified 10 7 0
Total 56 9016 3696
  • 38 of 110 players drafted since 2000 have played 20+ games in the NHL (35%)
  • 26 of 110 players drafted since 2000 have played 100+ games in the NHL (24%)
  • Anaheim draftees (incl. goalies) since 2000 have played a total of 9016 games
  • Anaheim skaters (excl. goalies) drafted since 2000 have played a total of 8214 games and accumulated 3696 points (0.45 PPG)
  • Best draft year: 2003 – Getzlaf [19th], Perry [28th], D. Miller [186th], S. O’Brien [250th]
  • Worst draft year: 2007 – 258 total NHL GP between 8 players. 1st round pick Logan MacMillan never played an NHL game. Only decent NHL player drafted was Tangradi (143 GP, 15 PTS)
    FIRST ROUND PICKS
Position Drafted GP PTS
Center 4 985 761
LW 4 851 467
RW 4 1558 1113
D 6 1308 375
G 0 0 0
Total 18 4702 2716
  • 12 of 18 players drafted in the 1st round have played 100+ games in the NHL (67%). Nick Ritchie (2014) and Shea Theodore (2013) haven’t played in the NHL yet but likely will
  • First round picks have played a total of 4702 games and accumulated 2716 points
  • Notable picks: Perry (28th, 2003), Getzlaf (19th, 2003), Lupul (7th, 2002), Smid (9th, 2004)
    SECOND ROUND PICKS
Position Drafted GP PTS
Center 4 272 61
LW 1 143 15
RW 3 149 43
D 6 424 109
G 2 491 N/A
Unspecified 1 0 0
Total 17 1479 228
  • 6 of 18 players drafted in the 2nd round have played 100+ games in the NHL (33%)
  • Second round picks have played a total of 1479 games and accumulated 240 points
  • Notable picks: Bryzgalov (44th, 2000), J. Schultz (43rd, 2008), Smith-Pelly (42nd, 2010), Gibson (39th, 2011)
    THIRD ROUND PICKS
Position Drafted GP PTS
Center 4 236 52
LW 2 171 36
RW 1 0 1
D 6 0 0
G 3 82 N/A
Unspecified 1 0 0
Total 17 489 89
  • 2 of 17 players drafted in the 3rd round have played 100+ games in the NHL (12%)
  • Third round picks have played a total of 489 games and accumulated 92 points
  • Notable picks: Frederik Andersen (87th, 2012)
    FOURTH TO NINTH ROUND PICKS
Position Drafted GP PTS
Center 8 114 29
LW 8 873 232
RW 3 347 227
D 25 779 175
G 5 229 N/A
Unspecified 8 7 0
Total 57 2346 663
  • 6 of 57 players drafted between the 4th and 9th rounds played 100+ games in the NHL (11%)
  • Fourth to ninth round picks have played 2346 games and accumulated 670 points
  • Notable picks: Shane O’Brien (250th, 2003), Drew Miller (186th, 2003), Parenteau (264th, 2001), Belesky (112th, 2006), Gerber (232rd, 2001), Vatanen (106th, 2009)

FUN FACTS

  • Tim Brent was drafted by Anaheim twice: 37th overall in 2002 and 75th overall in 2004
  • Anaheim has only drafted two goalies since 2010: Gibson (39th, 2011) and Andersen (87th, 2012).

WHAT WE LEARNED

Historically Anaheim has been excellent at drafting first round players. It’s likely that Theodore and Ritchie get an opportunity to play at the NHL over the next couple seasons. If this happened they would have 14 of their 18 picks (77%) play extended periods of time in the NHL. In comparison, according to TSN, the average first round pick has roughly a 70 percent chance of playing an extended period of time in the NHL

In contrast, Anaheim seems to have terrible luck with third round picks with only 12 percent of players playing more than 100 games in the NHL; a significant drop off from their 33 percent success rate for second round picks. According to the above mentioned TSN article, third round picks should have a success rate closer to 25 percent.

Picks in the fourth round or higher have actually had comparable success to the third round (11% to 12%). Anaheim’s late picks are on par with the expected average success rate of 10 to 15 percent.

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